V146-FV | Prospective Forward Validation

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No backfill. Returns on or before the freeze date are excluded. Pending and interim observations are descriptive only; a block is not scored before all 63 observed trading days are present.

Public protocol

V146-FV

The public layer does not disclose implementation details, signals, or full holdings. It records the frozen commitment, dated NAV, benchmark paths, and publication hashes.

pendingNot enough observations to score.

interimBlock is running; do not conclude.

finalized blockComplete block; reported under the protocol.

Protocol summary

Public metadata

Asset pool	SPY, TLT, GLD, VNQ, DBC, UUP, XLE, LQD
Rebalance period	63 observed US trading days
Cost convention	20 bps primary series and 50 bps additional series, applied to one-way turnover.
Benchmarks	Equal-weight asset pool, balanced 60/40, GLD buy-and-hold, and SPY buy-and-hold.
Minimum evidence	Four finalized blocks are required before a final validation claim.

This page reports a dated prospective record; it does not retroactively fill missing observations.

Cumulative NAV / cumulative return

Interactive view

The same dated public record is available as indexed NAV or cumulative return. Choose which public curves to show; V146-FV Cost20 remains the focal series.

Chart view

Curves

Each curve has a definition below. Hidden curves remain available in the tables and downloads.

Relative return vs benchmarks

Cumulative V146-FV Cost20 NAV relative to each public benchmark, rebased to 0% at the freeze marker.

Drawdown from running peak

Drawdown is shown for the selected public curves. This is a provisional path view.

Recent Cost20 daily observations

The latest published Cost20 daily-return path, shown for context.

Latest published daily return

The latest observed daily return for every selected public curve. Descriptive only.

Current metrics by public curve

Provisional

These descriptive statistics use only the records currently published. They are not a final validation or significance claim before a complete block is finalized.

Block progress

Block status record

No score before completion

A block enters the finalized record only after all 63 observed trading days are present.

Daily NAV and benchmark record

Benchmark records

Context only

These benchmark paths provide context; the protocol does not require the strategy to dominate every economic benchmark.

Commitments and hash manifest

SHA-256

Public files

No private package

daily_nav.csv benchmark_nav.csv block_status.csv publication_status.json record_hash_chain.csv hash_manifest.csv public snapshot ZIP

Disclosure note

Low disclosure

This is a prospective paper-portfolio record, not investment advice or a product offering. It does not publish proprietary implementation details, raw inputs, private decision records, full holding records, or model state files. Interim performance is not a finalized validation result.